Tool for prediction of confirmation probability of waitlisted tickets
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF RAILWAYS
RAJYA SABHA
QUESTION NO 460
ANSWERED ON 20.07.2018
Tool for prediction of confirmation probability of waitlisted tickets
460 Shri Ranjib Biswal
Will the Minister of RAILWAYS be pleased to state :-
(a) whether Railways have developed a tool which would be able to tell passengers at the time of booking whether there is a high probability of a waitlisted ticket getting confirmed;
(b) if so, the details of such tool/system devised and its salient features;
(c) whether it is a fact that this tool would be available only for bookings made through IRCTC website;
(d) if so, the details thereof; and
(e) whether the said tool has been put into operation and if so, the details thereof and if not, the reasons therefor?
ANSWER
MINISTER OF STATE IN THE MINISTRY OF RAILWAYS (SHRI RAJEN GOHAIN)
(a) to (e) : A Statement is laid on the Table of the House.
STATEMENT REFERRED TO IN REPLY TO PARTS (a) TO (e) OF UNSTARRED QUESTION NO. 460 BY SHRI RANJIB BISWAL ANSWERED IN RAJYA SABHA ON 20.07.2018 REGARDING TOOL FOR PREDICTION OF CONFIRMATION PROBABILITY OF WAITLISTED TICKETS.
(a) to (e): A tool has been developed to predict the probability of waitlisted ticket getting confirmed at the time of booking as well as during Passenger Name Record (PNR) enquiry of waitlisted ticket. The tool has been developed using the algorithm of Machine learning. The machine learning model has been developed using the waitlisted PNR data of past 2 years. This model creates the pattern for the various waitlist scenarios and predicts the probability for the future date journey.
The salient features of the scheme are as under:-
(i) It predicts the probability of waitlist status for General Quota.
(ii) The tool considers the high waitlist scenario of Holiday rush.
(iii) It displays the trend of last waitlist ticket got confirmed for the same journey during previous year.
(iv) Prediction of dynamic probability is based on current status.
Currently this feature is integrated with Indian Railway Catering & Tourism Corporation (IRCTC) website only. In IRCTC website this feature is operational w.e.f. 13 June, 2018 as under:-
i) When the user is doing the booking transaction, and if the status of accommodation availability of the inputted journey is waitlisted, then the user can check the probability of confirmation.
ii) At the time of PNR enquiry of waitlisted ticket, the user can check the probability of confirmation.
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